Real Estate - an alternative investm.docx
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Real Estate - an alternative investm.docx

RealEstate-analternativeinvestm.docx

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RealEstate-analternativeinvestmRealEstate-analternativeinvestmentAsia'sallenduringpreoccupationwithrealestateisundergoingarealitycheckasaconse-quenceoftheeconomiccrisis.Privateresiden-tialpropertypricesinSingapore,havecollapsedbyover45%fromitspeakinforexample,1996.Theshockanddismayofdie-hardrealestatebelieversisnotsurprising.Formany,however,therationalethatunderpinnedthatrealestateinvestmentisshowingsurprisingflaws.Argumentssuchas"landisfinite"persuadeinboomyears,butarenowdenouncedbysomeasintellectualgarbage.Thelong-termprospectsofrealestateinvestment,whilenotentirelymis-placed,aresubjecttoinvestmentcycles,interestratesandchangesingovernmentpolicies,likeallotherformsofinvestments.Puttingallofone'sinvestmenteggsinthepropertybasket,asmanyAsianshavebeeninclinedtodoinrecentyears,isunlikelytohatchabalancedinvest-mentstrategy.Thisarticleexaminesthepossi-bilities.Realestateinvestmentsareverylongterminnatureandpossesstwoimportantcharacte-risticsthatareoftenlessthanunderstood:leverageandilliquidity.Thesefactorsaccen-tuatethecapitalgainsonrealestateinboomtimesandmagnifythelossonthedownturn.Ifoneweretoinvest$200,000(borrowing$500,000)topurchasea$700,000propertyforexample,asimple10%riseinpropertypriceayearwouldtranslateintoabouta21%returnontheoriginalinvestment,netofinterestexpenseassumedat5.5%p.a..Withthatsameinterestassumption,a10%fallinpropertypricehow-everwouldtranslateintoalossofabout48%onthatsame$200,000investment,thetragiccon-sequenceofleverageworkinginreverse.Theilliquidityofrealestateisanotherimportantfactorforconsideration.Exitingarealestatein-vestmentoftenrequirestimeandpatience,par-ticularlysoinalessfavourableenvironment.Theaverageinvestorneedstoconsiderthesheeramountofthefinancialinvestmentandtheuni-quenessofeachpropertyasset.Theilliquiditylimitstheflexibilityinvestorshavewhentheyneedtorealigntheirinvestmentsinaccordancewithchangingmarketconditionsorchangesininvestmentneeds.Thelong-termnatureofrealestatein-vestingrequiresittobematchedwithstable,long-termcashflows