麦肯锡:2024年科技趋势展望.pdf
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麦肯锡:2024年科技趋势展望.pdf

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TechnologyTrendsOutlook2024July2024McKinsey&CompanyMcKinsey&Companyisaglobalmanagementconsultingfirm,deeplycommittedtohelpinginstitutionsintheprivate,public,andsocialsectorsachievelastingsuccess.Formorethan90years,ourprimaryobjectivehasbeentoserveasourclients’mosttrustedexternaladviser.Withconsultantsinmorethan100citiesinover60markets,acrossindustriesandfunctions,webringunparalleledexpertisetoclientsallovertheworld.Weworkcloselywithteamsatalllevelsofanorganizationtoshapewinningstrategies,mobilizeforchange,buildcapabilities,anddrivesuccessfulexecution.ContentsInsightsacrosstrends4TheAIrevolution13Cutting-edgeengineering65GenerativeAI14Futureofrobotics66AppliedAI20Futureofmobility71Industrializingmachinelearning25Futureofbioengineering77Futureofspacetechnologies82Buildingthedigitalfuture30Asustainableworld87Next-generationsoftwaredevelopment31Electrificationandrenewables88Digitaltrustandcybersecurity36Climatetechnologiesbeyond94electrificationandrenewablesComputeandconnectivityfrontiers43Advancedconnectivity44Immersive-realitytechnologies49Cloudandedgecomputing54Quantumtechnologies59TechnologyTrendsOutlook20243InsightsacrosstrendsDespitechallengingoverallmarketconditionsinNewandnotable2023,continuinginvestmentsinfrontiertechnologiesThetwotrendsthatstoodoutin2023weregenAIandpromisesubstantialfuturegrowthinenterpriseadoption.electrificationandrenewables.GenAIhasseenaspikeGenerativeAI(genAI)hasbeenastandouttrendsinceofalmost700percentinGooglesearchesfrom20222022,withtheextraordinaryuptickininterestandto2023,alongwithanotablejumpinjobpostingsandinvestmentinthistechnologyunlockinginnovativeinvestments.Thepaceoftechnologyinnovationhaspossibilitiesacrossinterconnectedtrendssuchasbeenremarkable.Overthecourseof2023and2024,roboticsandimmersivereality.Whilethemacroeconomicthesizeofthepromptsthatlargelanguagemodelsenvironmentwithelevatedinterestrateshasaffected(LLMs)canprocess,knownas“contextwindows,”spikedeq